Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.002245 0.002373 0.002508 0.002664 0.002838 0.003028 0.003253
2025-02-23 0.002094 0.002277 0.002483 0.002733 0.003033 0.003388 0.003849
2025-03-02 0.001938 0.002147 0.002391 0.002701 0.003094 0.003589 0.004286
2025-03-09 0.001805 0.002028 0.002293 0.002642 0.003103 0.003715 0.004638
2025-03-16 0.001747 0.001990 0.002287 0.002692 0.003250 0.004036 0.005328
2025-03-23 0.001695 0.001952 0.002275 0.002728 0.003378 0.004346 0.006082
2025-03-30 0.001625 0.001887 0.002221 0.002699 0.003408 0.004510 0.006630
2025-04-06 0.001548 0.001807 0.002142 0.002628 0.003363 0.004544 0.006944
2025-04-13 0.001494 0.001754 0.002094 0.002596 0.003374 0.004669 0.007479
2025-04-20 0.001409 0.001656 0.001981 0.002462 0.003212 0.004471 0.007252
2025-04-27 0.001375 0.001626 0.001959 0.002459 0.003258 0.004651 0.007957
2025-05-04 0.001365 0.001625 0.001977 0.002517 0.003408 0.005048 0.009406
2025-05-11 0.001335 0.001599 0.001959 0.002523 0.003479 0.005322 0.010771
2025-05-18 0.001323 0.001597 0.001977 0.002587 0.003659 0.005872 0.013655
2025-05-25 0.001286 0.001559 0.001940 0.002559 0.003670 0.006050 0.015374
2025-06-01 0.001245 0.001513 0.001889 0.002505 0.003627 0.006093 0.016556
2025-06-08 0.001233 0.001507 0.001898 0.002550 0.003778 0.006660 0.022076
2025-06-15 0.001218 0.001497 0.001899 0.002583 0.003909 0.007229 0.030642
2025-06-22 0.001190 0.001467 0.001869 0.002557 0.003916 0.007446 0.037627
2025-06-29 0.001155 0.001425 0.001817 0.002492 0.003834 0.007366 0.040116
2025-07-06 0.001129 0.001396 0.001787 0.002463 0.003826 0.007525 0.049575
2025-07-13 0.001083 0.001337 0.001706 0.002341 0.003607 0.006952 0.038812
2025-07-20 0.001067 0.001321 0.001692 0.002339 0.003649 0.007261 0.053263